tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Sacramento via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 66%

  1. 14:31 AUS → 16:40 SLC
    DL 3908 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 3h 09m · 86% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 SLC → 18:16 SMF
    DL 2585 · Delta · 1h 41m · 84% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 45mAUS 14:31 to SMF 18:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.