tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Fairbanks via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 17:50 PDX → 19:05 SEA
    DL 3918 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 15m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 36m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:41 SEA → 00:30 FAI +1 day
    DL 2186 · Delta · 3h 49m · 79% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 1 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 36m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 40mPDX 17:50 to FAI 00:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.