tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → New York via Portland: arrives on time 89%

  1. 18:55 SEA → 20:02 PDX
    DL 3923 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 07m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 33m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 PDX → 06:55 JFK +1 day
    DL 2139 · Delta · 5h 20m · 92% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 108 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 33m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 00mSEA 18:55 to JFK 06:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.