tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Austin via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 07:36 ASE → 13:09 ATL
    DL 3924 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 3h 33m · 87% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:00 ATL → 17:27 AUS
    DL 1491 · Delta · 2h 29m · 76% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h ahead of Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip8h 53mASE 07:36 to AUS 17:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.