tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Atlanta via Nashville: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:34 AUS → 18:02 BNA
    DL 3945 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 30m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:54 BNA → 21:17 ATL
    DL 719 · Delta · 1h 23m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 43mAUS 15:34 to ATL 21:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.