tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Seattle via Austin: arrives on time 90%

  1. 07:00 MSP → 09:50 AUS
    DL 3950 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 50m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:19 AUS → 13:54 SEA
    DL 1684 · Delta · 4h 35m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip8h 54mMSP 07:00 to SEA 13:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.