tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Seattle via Los Angeles: arrives on time 81%

  1. 12:15 PHX → 13:46 LAX
    DL 3951 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 31m · 87% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 LAX → 20:34 SEA
    DL 2640 · Delta · 2h 49m · 83% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 194 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 19mPHX 12:15 to SEA 20:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.