tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Santa Rosa via Los Angeles: arrives on time 88%

  1. 12:15 PHX → 13:46 LAX
    DL 3951 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 31m · 87% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:00 LAX → 18:43 STS
    AS 3476 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 43m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 28mPHX 12:15 to STS 18:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.