tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Santa Barbara via Portland: arrives on time 88%

  1. 07:30 SEA → 08:39 PDX
    DL 3953 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 09m · 94% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 08m layover in Portland (PDX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:47 PDX → 13:05 SBA
    AS 2317 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 2h 18m · 93% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 08m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip5h 35mSEA 07:30 to SBA 13:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.