tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boise → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 64%

  1. 15:29 BOI → 16:11 SEA
    DL 3958 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 42m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 SEA → 19:01 SMF
    DL 4043 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 01m · 89% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 1 h behind Boise). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 32mBOI 15:29 to SMF 19:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.