tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Dallas-Fort Worth via Detroit: arrives on time 56%

  1. 17:58 TVC → 19:15 DTW
    DL 3965 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 17m · 70% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:46 DTW → 22:32 DFW
    DL 1207 · Delta · 2h 50m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 38mTVC 17:58 to DFW 22:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.