tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Washington via Detroit: arrives on time 58%

  1. 17:58 TVC → 19:15 DTW
    DL 3965 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 17m · 70% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:24 DTW → 22:59 DCA
    DL 2073 · Delta · 1h 35m · 70% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 01mTVC 17:58 to DCA 22:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.