tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Philadelphia via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 17:58 TVC → 19:15 DTW
    DL 3965 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 17m · 70% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 DTW → 23:17 PHL
    DL 2402 · Delta · 1h 42m · 81% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 19mTVC 17:58 to PHL 23:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.