tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 65%

  1. 17:58 TVC → 19:15 DTW
    DL 3965 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 17m · 70% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 DTW → 23:41 LGA
    DL 2603 · Delta · 1h 51m · 74% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 43mTVC 17:58 to LGA 23:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.