tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 66%

  1. 14:59 RAP → 17:38 MSP
    DL 3967 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 39m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 07m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 MSP → 21:25 ORD
    DL 1563 · Delta · 1h 40m · 68% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Rapid City). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 82 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 07m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 26mRAP 14:59 to ORD 21:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.