tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Phoenix via Minneapolis: arrives on time 64%

  1. 14:59 RAP → 17:38 MSP
    DL 3967 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 39m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:48 MSP → 20:10 PHX
    DL 2297 · Delta · 3h 22m · 73% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 1 h behind Rapid City). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 11mRAP 14:59 to PHX 20:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.