tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → New York via Los Angeles: arrives on time 65%

  1. 06:00 SMF → 07:40 LAX
    DL 3969 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:20 LAX → 19:59 JFK
    DL 972 · Delta · 5h 39m · 67% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip10h 59mSMF 06:00 to JFK 19:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.