tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Dulles via Los Angeles: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:00 SMF → 07:40 LAX
    DL 3969 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:39 LAX → 18:48 IAD
    UA 2667 · United · 5h 09m · 90% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 89 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 48mSMF 06:00 to IAD 18:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.