tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Denver via Minneapolis: arrives on time 56%

  1. 11:00 RAP → 13:40 MSP
    DL 3971 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 84% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:27 MSP → 15:38 DEN
    DL 1025 · Delta · 2h 11m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 38mRAP 11:00 to DEN 15:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.