tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Dallas-Fort Worth via Minneapolis: arrives on time 68%

  1. 11:00 RAP → 13:40 MSP
    DL 3971 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 84% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:04 MSP → 19:47 DFW
    F9 3223 · Frontier · 2h 47m · 71% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h ahead of Rapid City). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 51mRAP 11:00 to DFW 19:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.