tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 67%

  1. 11:00 RAP → 13:40 MSP
    DL 3971 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 84% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 16m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:56 MSP → 17:44 ORD
    AA 4000 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 49m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Rapid City). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 16m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 45mRAP 11:00 to ORD 17:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.