tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 54%

  1. 14:07 TVC → 15:20 DTW
    DL 3976 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 13m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 38m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:58 DTW → 18:29 ORD
    DL 1084 · Delta · 1h 31m · 61% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 113 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 38m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 22mTVC 14:07 to ORD 18:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.