tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Houston via Detroit: arrives on time 42%

  1. 14:07 TVC → 15:20 DTW
    DL 3976 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 13m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:15 DTW → 18:20 IAH
    DL 1529 · Delta · 3h 01m · 70% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 09mTVC 14:07 to IAH 18:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.