tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Washington via Detroit: arrives on time 50%

  1. 14:07 TVC → 15:20 DTW
    DL 3976 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 13m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:25 DTW → 18:59 DCA
    DL 2030 · Delta · 1h 34m · 59% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 52mTVC 14:07 to DCA 18:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.