tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Denver via Detroit: arrives on time 53%

  1. 14:07 TVC → 15:20 DTW
    DL 3976 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 13m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:21 DTW → 17:27 DEN
    DL 2431 · Delta · 3h 14m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 28mTVC 14:07 to DEN 17:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.