tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Newark via Detroit: arrives on time 48%

  1. 14:07 TVC → 15:20 DTW
    DL 3976 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 13m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:44 DTW → 19:30 EWR
    DL 2567 · Delta · 1h 46m · 53% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 99 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip5h 23mTVC 14:07 to EWR 19:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.