tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 66%

  1. 14:07 TVC → 15:20 DTW
    DL 3976 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 13m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:04 DTW → 18:51 ORD
    AA 3980 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 47m · 81% on time, 7.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 74 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (7.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 44mTVC 14:07 to ORD 18:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.