tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Los Angeles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 72%

  1. 12:09 MEM → 14:25 MSP
    DL 3989 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 16m · 85% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 4h 33m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:58 MSP → 20:51 LAX
    DL 2122 · Delta · 3h 57m · 74% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 10h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 228 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 33m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip10h 46mMEM 12:09 to LAX 20:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.