tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Detroit via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 13:36 TVC → 14:16 MSP
    DL 3995 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 59m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:15 MSP → 18:59 DTW
    DL 1476 · Delta · 1h 45m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 74 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 59m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 24mTVC 13:36 to DTW 18:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.