tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 58%

  1. 13:36 TVC → 14:16 MSP
    DL 3995 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 29m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:45 MSP → 19:30 ORD
    DL 2130 · Delta · 1h 45m · 61% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 164 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 29m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 54mTVC 13:36 to ORD 19:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.