tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 62%

  1. 13:36 TVC → 14:16 MSP
    DL 3995 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 40m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:30 MSP → 19:18 LGA
    DL 2732 · Delta · 2h 47m · 74% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 41mTVC 13:36 to LGA 19:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.