tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Providence via Minneapolis: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:55 MSP
    DL 3996 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 91% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 MSP → 13:53 PVD
    DL 1224 · Delta · 2h 43m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 53mIAD 06:00 to PVD 13:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.