tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Austin via Minneapolis: arrives on time 76%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:55 MSP
    DL 3996 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 91% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 MSP → 12:53 AUS
    DL 2062 · Delta · 2h 40m · 83% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 55mIAD 06:00 to AUS 12:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.