tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → San Diego via Minneapolis: arrives on time 72%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:55 MSP
    DL 3996 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 91% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:55 MSP → 10:43 SAN
    DL 2121 · Delta · 3h 48m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 43mIAD 06:00 to SAN 10:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.