tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Las Vegas via Minneapolis: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:55 MSP
    DL 3996 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 91% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:13 MSP → 10:35 LAS
    DL 2262 · Delta · 3h 22m · 85% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 35mIAD 06:00 to LAS 10:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.