tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Philadelphia via Minneapolis: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:55 MSP
    DL 3996 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 91% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:09 MSP → 14:43 PHL
    DL 2679 · Delta · 2h 33m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 42mIAD 06:00 to PHL 14:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.