tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Tampa via Minneapolis: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:55 MSP
    DL 3996 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 91% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:04 MSP → 14:12 TPA
    DL 2696 · Delta · 3h 08m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 12mIAD 06:00 to TPA 14:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.