tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Anchorage via Minneapolis: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:55 MSP
    DL 3996 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 91% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:50 MSP → 11:25 ANC
    DL 555 · Delta · 5h 35m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip9h 25mIAD 06:00 to ANC 11:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.