tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Seattle via Minneapolis: arrives on time 82%

  1. 06:00 IAD → 07:55 MSP
    DL 3996 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 55m · 91% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 MSP → 12:58 SEA
    DL 889 · Delta · 3h 48m · 87% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 9h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip9h 58mIAD 06:00 to SEA 12:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.