tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Minneapolis via Seattle: arrives on time 90%

  1. 17:13 SNA → 20:14 SEA
    DL 3999 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 3h 01m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:59 SEA → 05:17 MSP +1 day
    DL 953 · Delta · 3h 18m · 91% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 10h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 180 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip10h 04mSNA 17:13 to MSP 05:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.