tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Kahului via Los Angeles: arrives on time 57%

  1. 15:00 SAN → 16:04 LAX
    DL 4002 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 04m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:55 LAX → 19:29 OGG
    DL 418 · Delta · 5h 34m · 85% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 29mSAN 15:00 to OGG 19:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.