tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Boston via Detroit: arrives on time 40%

  1. 17:59 MEM → 20:58 DTW
    DL 4007 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 59m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:53 DTW → 23:54 BOS
    DL 1187 · Delta · 2h 01m · 71% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 55mMEM 17:59 to BOS 23:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.