tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 70%

  1. 16:28 SDF → 17:40 MSP
    DL 4007 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 12m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 19m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 MSP → 23:43 LGA
    DL 2733 · Delta · 2h 44m · 77% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 1 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 19m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 15mSDF 16:28 to LGA 23:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.