tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Santa Rosa via Seattle: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:30 PDX → 06:41 SEA
    DL 4008 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 11m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:54 SEA → 11:58 STS
    AS 1321 · Alaska · 2h 04m · 83% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 103 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 28mPDX 05:30 to STS 11:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.