tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Fairbanks via Seattle: arrives on time 76%

  1. 05:30 PDX → 06:41 SEA
    DL 4008 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 11m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 SEA → 13:35 FAI
    DL 1061 · Delta · 3h 55m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 1 h behind Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 194 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip9h 05mPDX 05:30 to FAI 13:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.