tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 90%

  1. 05:30 PDX → 06:41 SEA
    DL 4008 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 11m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 29m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:10 SEA → 12:18 SMF
    DL 4125 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 08m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 164 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 29m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 48mPDX 05:30 to SMF 12:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.