tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Salt Lake City via Minneapolis: arrives on time 65%

  1. 17:11 XNA → 19:10 MSP
    DL 4012 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 59m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:20 MSP → 22:15 SLC
    DL 1051 · Delta · 2h 55m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 04mXNA 17:11 to SLC 22:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.