tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 74%

  1. 10:30 TVC → 11:43 DTW
    DL 4021 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 13m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:35 DTW → 13:03 ORD
    DL 1716 · Delta · 1h 28m · 78% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 3h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip3h 33mTVC 10:30 to ORD 13:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.