tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 70%

  1. 10:30 TVC → 11:43 DTW
    DL 4021 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 13m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 27m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:10 DTW → 14:47 ORD
    UA 5381 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 37m · 71% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 57 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 27m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 17mTVC 10:30 to ORD 14:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.