tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Newark via Detroit: arrives on time 72%

  1. 10:30 TVC → 11:43 DTW
    DL 4021 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 13m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 32m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:15 DTW → 17:10 EWR
    UA 3611 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 55m · 76% on time, 6.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 122 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 32m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (6.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 40mTVC 10:30 to EWR 17:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.